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FENIX Analysis: SGLT2i HF CVOTs and Stopping Early Scenarios

Currently, there are multiple ongoing, label-enabling HF CVOTs in the SGLT2i class for Jardiance, Farxiga, and Zynquista (sotagliflozin), along with other studies exploring surrogate endpoints, biomarkers, and mechanisms of action. FENIX has created a tale-of-the-tape summary of the SGLT2i HF CVOTs along with a projected timeline for filings and launches. In summary, it is believed that AZ’s DAPA-HF CVOT has a high probability of stopping early for overwhelming efficacy and thus creating a priority review scenario to leap AZ ahead of BI/LLY by 6-12 months in this important LCM opportunity. Below is a summary of the rationale and hypothesis comparing the different development approaches by SGLT2i sponsors to improve clinical outcomes in HF patients.

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